Delhi maintained a lower rate through fiscal year 2024-25 | Photo credit: Sushil Kumar Verma
Despite the general decrease, states such as Kerala, Karnataka and Maharashtra registered retail inflation based on the highest consumer price index than the national holder. Climate factors, including rains and heat waves, are expected to affect state figures, as well as the number of headlines.
According to the warehouse of the Consumer Price Index of the Ministry of Statistics, at least six states with populations that exceed 50 LAKH according to the 2011 census reported higher inflation numbers than the national average. These include Chhattisgarh, Jammu and Kashmir, Tamil Nadu, along with Kerala, Karnataka and Maharashtra. With the exception of one, all these states saw an inflation of fall, but even higher than the national holder. There, specific reasons of the State have not been provided, there could be local problems that affect the prices of several articles, mainly food.
Five states and a territory of the union with populations that exceed 50 Lakh saw inflation lower than the national number. These include Western Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Delhi and Telangana. Delhi maintained a lower rate through fiscal year 2024-25. At the same time, Télangana witnessed a very high rate in the first two months of the last prosecutor, but Subignal, registered lower inflation below the national number.
Meteorological factor
The heat and monsoon are expected to influence food prices in several union states and territories. On Tuesday, the Department of Meteorology of India (IMD) predicts that, although the monsoon is likely to be above normal, there is concern for more days of heat waves.
According to a SBI research report, this is significant since the monsoon is crucial for the agricultural sector of India, which supports the Livesi bell of approximately 42.3 percent of the population and contributions of 18.2 percent to the country’s GDP. Almost 52 percent of the net cultivated area depends on the primary rain support system. It is also essential to rejoice or deposits, ensuring the availability of drinking water, separated from energy generation,
A note from Barclays said: “We are aware that seasonal factors for vegetable prices will worsen in summer. That said, we believe that pressures will continue to be relatively benign.” He continues to wait for inflation to average 4 percent in the fiscal year26, as well as the recently reviewed prognosis of the RBI. “The expectation of a monsoon ‘above normal’ by the Indian Meteorology Department occurs well for the food inflation trajectory in the future,” said the note.
Dharmakirti Joshi, chief economist of Crisil Ltd, said that the prognosis of the Indian weather departments of a monsoon above normal for 2025 and the Skymet forecast of a normal one adds to the happy news in the front of food inflation. On the other hand, a more acute fall than expected in oil crude oil prices will help keep inflation that does not feed. But “be careful with climatic interruptions, such as heat waves. For fiscal year 2026, we expect a main inflation in 4.3 percent with food, fuel and central readings at 4.6 percent, 2.5 percent, percent, respectively,” he said.
Posted on April 15, 2025