A United Airlines Boeing 737 Max 9 Airplane approaches the San Diego International Airport on April 8, 2025 in San Diego, California, USA.
Kevin Carter | Getty Images News | Getty images
Airplanes are one of the few modes of transport that carry it from their place of origin to its destination in a line. But United Airlines, one of the largest carriers in the United States, does not have the luxury of a direct route when it comes to predicting its fines. On Tuesday, the airline offered two profit estimates throughout the year: one is its original mood from January; The other, a recently reviewed forecast if there is a recession.
On the one hand, it is a recognition that it is impossible to predict the economy: think about how many analysts were sure that a recession would hit the United States in 2023. On the other hand, it is rare for companies to do it, President Donvalized the administration of volatility.
However, in markets, volatility seems to be decreasing for now, according to the CBOE Volatility Index, or VX, which looks like Wall’s “fear indicator”. The stocks retired on Tuesday, but were marginal drops compared to the huge leaves last week. The trip now, then, is relatively softer, but as the unusual movement of United Airlines suggests, turbulence could still be ahead.
What you need to know today
Volatility in market retreats
US actions slipped on Tuesday. He S&P 500 0.17%fell, the Dow Jones industrial Lost 0.38% and Nasdaq compound By a marginal 0.05%. He Vix He fell about 30 years after reaching a maximum of around 60 last week. Regional Europe Stoxx 600 The index rose 1.63%. LVMH The shares sank 7.8% after the company reported on Monday a 3% year -on -year drop in sales of the first quarter, the expectations of the missing analysts of a slight growth.
Nvidia will take $ 5.5 billion
Nvidia The shares fell around 6% in extended operations after the company said Tuesday that a quarterly position of the position of around $ 5.5 billion linked to export graph processing units to China and other destinations will be required. On April 9, the United States government told NVIDIA that it would require a license to export the chips to China and a handful of other countries, the company said in a presentation. The H20 is an AI chip for China that was designed to meet the export restrictions of the United States.
The strange control of the land of China
Amid Trump’s tariffs on China, Beijing earlier this month imported export restrictions on seven key elements of rare earths used in defense, energy and automotive technologies. According to a report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, if China’s commercial controls result in a cessation of such exports, the United States won to fill the void, and this could threaten military capacities.
Profit estimates in a recession
United Airlines He reported profits on Tuesday and took an unusual step or offered two profit prospects. The company left the intact expectations issued in January, but also the profit estimates provide in the case of a recession. “The company’s perspective is Gapants in the macro environment that the company believes that it is impossible to predict this year with Methree of Confience,” he said in a presentation of values.
Indian inflation slows down more
The annual inflation rate of India fell to a 3.34% most anticipated in March, the Ministry of Statistics and implementation of the country’s program reported Tuesday. This marked the fifth consecutive monthly decline and reached the reading of 3.6% expected by the economists surveyed by Reuters.
[PRO] The US retail report could be misleading
The US Retail Sales Report, on Wednesday, should be solid since consumers are still spending money. Economists also expect a healthy growth reading. The details, the thought, will probably tell a different story. Here is why investors should not be tasks for the number of headlines, Jeff Cox de CNBC wrote.
And finally …
The statue of Albert Gallatin is outside the United States Department of the Treasury building in Washington, DC
Andrew Harrer | Bloomberg | Getty images
Trump’s rates led a treasury sale: Who sold the insurance asset?
The United States Treasury market during the past week saw investors flee from the safe shelter, in an unusual movement that joined the agitation of the Caauute market for the “reciprocal” rates of the president of the United States, Donald Trump,.
In just a few sessions, the performance of the 10 -year Treasury He shot at 4,592% on Friday, the highest since February. In the same way, the Treasure at 30 years The performance scored the highest since November 2023 last Wednesday. While the yields have marked lower since then, they remain high.
Among the probable culprits behind the bond liquidation are China, Japan’s insurers, coverage funds and “bond guards”.