This combination of images created on April 9, 2025 shows the envoy of Middle East Steve Witkoff after a meeting with Russian officials at the Diriyah Palace, in Riad, Saudi Arabia, on February 18, 2025 (L); And Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi spoke with the duration of the AFP an interview at the Iranian consulate in Jeddah on March 7, 2025.
Evelyn Hockstein | Amer Hilabi | AFP | Getty images
Dubai, United Arab Emirates: the conversations between the administration of the president of the United States, Donald Trump, and the Iran government on a possible renewed nuclear agreement began with a positive note during the weekend, representatives of both countries said, despite supporting conflict points and a lack of clarity on the specific conditions of each side.
In particular, there was more optimism towards a general agreement and communication between the adversaries of pulmonary time. The delegates of the United States and Iran agreed to make more conversations next week in Rome, while the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs described Saturday’s negotiations and that the tasks have a “constructive atmosphere and based on mutual respect.”
This highlights the big difference between the Biden administration attempts to relive the 2015 nuclear agreement and the position in which the Trump administration is currently: one with dramatically changed advantages for Washington and more filled.
“I think the Iranians are a bit more desperate than in 2022, and face a very weak economy,” Gregory Brew, a senior analyst of Iran and energy in the political risk consultancy Eurasia, told CNBC.
“Iran’s regional position has weakened significantly. They are concerned about how much more stress they can manage, their internal position, the situation of internal discontent is likely to get worse. Therefore, they are interested in obtaining a concessionaire, empowering them enhanced, an opportunity to obtain such an agreement.”
Biden was also built by public opinion, Brew said, risking criticism or appearing “soft” in Iran. Trump does not face those same limitations, he said: The president is already seen as a hawk of Iran and reimpared “maximum pressure” to the country shortly after entering the entrance to the position.
Iran’s economy has deteriorated dramatically in the years since Trump in 2018 withdrew the United States from the multiple agreement, formally entitled the Comprehensive Comprehensive Action Plan, or the JCPOA. The agreement was negotiated in 2015 together with Russia, China, the EU and the United Kingdom under the administration of Obama to stop and strictly monitor Iran’s nuclear activity in exchange for relief of sanctions.
Already facing several years of protests, a significantly weakened currency and a crisis of cost of living for the Iranians, the Islamic Republic was beaten with the hammer coup of losing its main ally in the Middle East last year, when the Assad regime collapsed. Meanwhile, Tehran’s Archionemigo, Israel, killed most senior or Hezbollah leadership, Iran’s power in Lebanon.
The Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatolá Ali Khaameei, was previously opposed to negotiations with the United States, but senior government officials initially launched a coordinated effort to change the survival of the regime, framing the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision, the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision of the decision as a criticism.
What son of a ‘nuclear program’ are we talking about?
Trump has done is very clear that he will not accept an IR with nuclear weapons. The last years have raised bets: in time since Trump retired from the JCPOA, Iran has bone enrichment and uranium storage at its highest levels in history, which leads to the International Atomic Energy Agency, to be nuclear nuclear nuclear.
“Iran remains the only state of non -nuclear enriching uranium weapon at this level, which raises important Conerns on the potential development of weapons,” said a UN press release on March 3.
Tehran insists that his program is only for civil energy purposes, but Iran’s nuclear enrichment has reached 60% purity, according to the OIEA, dramatically higher than the enrichment limit raised. In the 2015 nuclear agreement, and a brief technical step of the level of purity of degree of weapons or 90%.
Trump has repeatedly warned of an American military response that Ifan does not change the course to Washington’s satisfaction.
“I would like an agreement with Iran in Non Nuclear. I would prefer that it would bombard it,” the US president said in early February in an interview with the New York Posts.
That pressure has clearly had an impact on Tehran’s will to come to the table, says Ryan Bohl, a senior analyst of the Middle East and North Africa in the Network Rane.
“I think the Iranians are eager to develop a viable framework that allows extended negotiations that would prevent the military action that President Trump certainly suggested that he could arrive in just a few months,” said Bohl.
“In addition,” he added, “the Iranian economy could use relief suggestions to improve the conditions in the field, which in turn would improve public support for the Islamic Republic.”
Even so, the specific parameters of a possible agreement have not yet been discussed, and additional conversations will reveal the scope of the differences between the position of each country.
The main one among the removal conflict points is the fact that Iran is not willing to give up its nuclear program, that is a red line for Tehran, according to its leaders. But exactly what son of the program that is actually something that the Trump administration is willing to show flexibility, provided they will not be able to develop a bomb.
Subsequent conversations will need to reveal Trump’s conditions, which have so far been kept secret.
“Ultimately, I think that the key to these negotiations would always be about what the United States were towards Iran,” also Itayim, Mideast Gulfe editor in Argus Media, said Monday “Access Miday” of CNBC.
“Is the United States dismantling the Iranian nuclear program, or is it purely a matter of guaranteeing verification to ensure that there is no weapon of this program?”
“I think Donald Trump has been very clear in the last two, three weeks in particular: without weapons.” Iranians can work with that: they have always affirmed and said that we are not behind nuclear weapons. So this was a good starting point. “
The deep and deep remains between the two parties, and Iran Hawks, in particular, the ally of the United States, Israel, is disgusted that the negotiations are taking place and oppose any possible flexibility by the Trump administration.
On Wednesday, a few days before the American conversations of Iran in Oman, Trump said that Israel would be the “leader” or any possible military strike against Iran, if his government does not renounce his nuclear weapons program.