Morgan Stanley has reviewed its GDP growth forecast for India for fiscal year 26 to 6.1 percent of an earlier estimate or 6.5 percent
Morgan Stanley has reduced its Targe Sensex BSE by December from 2025 to 82000, 12 percent less than the previous estimate of 93,000. Despite the winds against global, Indian actions have shown resilience due to low beta characteristics of the market.
The global investment advice firm observes a change from a macro market to one focused on the selection of shares, reducing the active positions of the sector and the capitalization agent in the portfolio strategy.
Morgan Stanley has also reviewed the GDP growth prognosis for India for fiscal year 26 to 6.1 percent from an earlier estimate of 6.5 percent, citing greater global external demand for uncertain and awakening. The prognosis for the FY27 has also been reduced to 6.3 percent. The reduction is attributed to groups on commercial interruptions related to the rate, a slower global growth and its second order effects on national commercial feeling and capital spending cycles.
Touching
According to the report, India’s economic growth is expected to influence 5.7 percent in the quarter ending in December 2025, below 6.2 percent in December 2024. Global commercial tensions in progress, particularly between the United States and China, hope to continue affecting. However, the direct impact of tariffs is limited due to the export export of relatively low goods from India to the US. UU. In 2.1 percent of GDP.
In response to the deceleration, Morgan Stanley hopes that the Bank of the India Reserve will reduce the fees per 100 cumulative basic points, which carries the 5.5 percent policy rate at the end of fiscal year 2016. It is projected that inflation will remain benign, averaging 4 percent in fiscal year 26, helping to soften food prices and energy.
Intellation of profits
Profit expectations have also been tempered on the legs. The broker has reduced its estimation of profits of the fiscal year26 for India by 13 percent, citing the global wak macroconomic conditions and softening the power of corporate prices. Nuncaberness, Morgan Stanley argues that the medium -term gains cycle remains intact, backed by national factors such as government spending and monetary flexibility.
Posted on April 15, 2025
