Dila Irem Sancar | Anadolu | Getty images
Last week, China announced that it was repaired against the tariffs of the president of the United States, Donald Trump, saying that any additional increase by the United States would be a “joke”, and Beijing “would ignore” the issue.
However, in the case of continuing to focus on the rates of the goods, China has chosen to resort to other measures, including steps aimed at the US services sector.
Trump has increased American taxes on selected goods from China to 245% after several rounds of Tit measures per eye with Beijing in the last week. Before calling it a “senseless numbers game,” China last week imposed additional imports from the United States of up to 125%.
Although the Trump administration has largely focused on pressing in its rates plans, Beijing has implemented a series of non -tariff restrictive measures, including export controls of the minerals of the rare land and the opening of Dupes Antitrust Dupes companies, Maerran’s companies, Maerran’s companies, Maerran companies De Maerran, Maerran.
Before the last climbing, in February Beijing, he placed boxes of US companies in a call of “unreliable entity”, which would restrict or prohibit companies from trade or invest in China. American companies such as PVH, Tommy Hilfiger’s parent company, and Illumina, a supplier of gene sequencing equipment, were among the aggregates to the list.
Its hardening of exports of critical mineral elements will require that Chinese colleagues obtain special licenses to export thesis resources, effectively restrict the access of the United States to the key minerals necessary for semiconductors, missile defense systems and solar cells.
In his last movement on Tuesday, Beijing was after the largest exporter of Boeing-America, ordering Chinese airlines to take only their planes and asked carriers to stop any purchase of aircraft related equipment.
Having deliveries to China will join the problems of the aircraft manufacturer with liquidity problems, since it fights with a persistent quality control crises.
In another sign of increasing hosticities, the Chinese police issued notices for the expiration of three people who claimed to have participated in cyber attacks against China on behalf of the United States National Security Agency.
The Chinese state media, which published the notice, urged national users and companies to avoid the use of American technology and replace them with national alternatives.
“Beijing is clearly pointing to Washington that two can play in this retaliation game and that has many livers to throw, all creating different levels or pain for US companies,” said Wendy Cutler, vice president of the Institute of Policy of the Asia Society.
“With high rates and other restrictions instead, the decoupling of the two economies is in full steam,” said Cutler.
Direct services
Some see China that they seek to expand the commercial war to cover the trade of services, which covers travel, legal, offices and financial services, where the United States has administered a significant surplus with China for years.
Earlier this month, a social media account affiliated with the Xinhua news agency for Chinese state media, suggested that Beijing could impose curbs on the legal consulting companies of the United States and consider China’s operations of the US companies of the investigation for the huge rights of benefits. “
Imports of American services in China increased more than 10 times to $ 55 billion in 2024 in the last two decades, according to Nomura estimates, promoting the commercial surplus of US services. UU. With China at $ 32 billion last year.
Last week, China said it would reduce imports from American films and warned its citizens who do not travel or study in the United States, in a sign of Beijing’s intention to press the entertainment, tourism and education sectors of the United States.
“These measures are directed to the high-vision-viation sectors, media and education, which resonate politics in the United States,” said Jing Qian, managing director of the Chinese analysis center.
Although they could have a low impact on real dollars given the lowest scale of these sectors, “the effects of reputation, such as less Chinese students or more cautious Chinese employees, could cheat through the academy and the technological talent ecosystem,” he accumulated.
Nomura estimates that $ 24 billion could be at stake if Beijing intensifies travel restrictions to the United States
The trips dominated US services exports to China, reflecting spending by millions of Chinese tourists in the United States, according to Nomura. Within the trips, the expense related to education leads to 71%, estimates that they mainly come from the enrollment and life expenses for the more than 270,000 Chinese students studying in the United States.
Entertainment exports, which are found with films, music and television programs, represented only 6% of US exports within this sector, said the investment firm, and noted that Beijing’s last movement about movies imports “entails more symbolic elevations than economic kisses.”
“We could see the deepest decoupling, not only in supply chains, but in the ties of people to people, the exchange of knowledge and the regulatory frameworks. This can indicate a change in the transactional tension to the systemic divergence,” Qian said.
Can Beijing be more aggressive?
Analysts expect to a large extent that Beijing continues to deploy their arsenal of non -objective policy tools in an effort to increase their influence before any possible negotiation with the Trump administration.
“From the perspective of the Chinese government, the operations of the US companies in China are the greatest objective to inflict pain in the United States.
Apple pharmaceutical and medical devices companies, pharmacists are among companies that could be directed as Beijing advances with non -tariff measures, including the sanction, regulatory harassment and export controls, Wildou added.
Buyers and staff look inside Apple’s store, with their elegant modern interior design and its prominent Apple logo, in Chongqing, China, on September 10, 2024.
Cheng xin | Getty images
While an agreement may allow both parties to relax some of the retaliation measures, the hopes of short -term conversations between the two leaders are fading rapidly.
Chinese officials have repeatedly condemned the “unilateral tariffs” imposed by Trump as “bullying” and promised “fighting until the end.” Even so, Beijing has left the open for negotiations, but they must be in “an equal base.”
On Tuesday, the White House Secretary, Karoline Leavitt, said Trump is open to China, but Beijing needs to make the first movement.
“In the end, only when a country experiences sufficient self -inflicted damage might consider softening its position and really return to the negotiating table,” said Jianwei Xu, Natixis economist.